December 2008 Archives

Mason Malmuth: The Most Important Hand Ever Played

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One of the more common themes you will find in Card Player are articles that describe poker hands. Sometimes these are instructive in nature, and sometimes they are just describing a dramatic situation, especially an important hand played late in a tournament where much money was at stake.


In fact, a few of these articles have been written by me, and I enjoy reading many of them. They are informative, in many instances illustrate the dramatics and complexities of poker, and help to explain why this wonderful game keeps all of us occupied to some degree.


But it turns out that among all the poker hands ever played and written about, there is one particular hand whose importance is probably far more significant than all other poker hands ever played put together. Now that's a mouthful, and the real shame is that most of you who will read this essay don't know anything about it. Of course, that will soon be corrected.
First some background. The year was 1864 and the United States Civil War was nearing its climax. Even though the North was winning, it was not winning by enough to assure that the war would end with a favorable conclusion for the Union side. The Confederate Army led by Robert E. Lee in Northern Virginia had frustrated all Northern attempts to capture the city of Richmond, and the price the North would have to pay for total victory seemed to great for many people. This meant that there was a good chance that Lincoln would not be reelected, and that his opponent, General George B. McClellan would be the new president in 1865. There was also much speculation that McClellan would end the killing and split the United States into two countries.

However, the war in the West had gone much better for the North. The Confederacy had been split in two with the capture of Vicksburg, and they had a large army in Northern Georgia that was headed towards Atlanta. But there were still problems. The Confederate Army of The Tennesse was in its way.
This army also had a new commander, General Joseph E. Johnston, an extraordinary defensive tactician. Johnston understood that as long as his army survived, the Southern nation would survive, and didn't want to fight unless he had a clear advantage.

Thus a war of maneuver began where the two armies "danced" their way towards the city of Atlanta.
In addition, Johnston knew what might happen in the election of 1864. If he could hold out against Sherman, and not allow him that ultimate victory the North so badly needed, then Lincoln might be defeated at the polls. This was literally the best chance the South had.


Unfortunately for Johnston, Jefferson Davis, the Confederate President, did not see things quite the same way. Davis wanted the invader brought to battle and defeated. So at the outskirts of Atlanta, Johnston was relieved of his command and was replaced by the aggressive and courageous fighter General John B. Hood


Now some of you might be wondering what all this has to do with a poker hand. Well, a curious event now occurred. One of Sherman's subordinates, whose name I have never seen in my reading, related a story to his commander about Hood playing in a poker game many years before the Civil War began. Apparently, Hood had bet $2,500, a very large sum in those days, with "nary a pair" in his hand. Sherman immediately understood what this meant. Instead of being against a defensive tactician who was forcing him to fight a war of maneuver, the Union Army should brace itself for an attack. Sherman correctly assumed that someone's aggressive tendencies were as likely to show up at the poker table as they were on the battlefield. He now knew that he was against a fighter, not a tactician.

In fact, if his army was still on maneuver and was hit directly in the "side," the Confederates could punch a hole in his lines, separate his forces, and perhaps even defeat the whole Union cause. The dance was now over, and big betting would begin.
As suspected, the attack soon came, and after several vicious battles, including the Battle of Atlanta, Sherman - who had correctly predicted his opponent's intention all because of a poker game held many years before - finally achieved the decisive victory that the North and President Lincoln so badly needed.


So how important was this poker hand. Well, if it hadn't been played, there might not have been a United States as we know it, and all of world history might have been different. So don't let anyone ever tell you that poker isn't important, or that they just played a hand of a lifetime. I don't care what they might claim, the results can't compare to that hand played perhaps over 150 years ago.


Finally, a few of things that we don't know:

1. We don't know what form of poker Hood was playing. My guess would be some form of no limit draw poker, but that doesn't have to be the case.
2. We don't know if Hood was caught bluffing or showed the hand after raking in a big pot.
3. We don't know if this was a well thought out play on Hood's part or whether he was just steaming.
4. We have no idea as to how good a poker player Hood might have been. But I do suspect that Sherman would have been very good if he ever sat at the poker table.

by Mason Malmuth

More new content

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I've been quite busy here at gaming.unlv.edu.  While revamping the main page, I decided to add more content to the site.  Sitting on one of the world's greatest collections of gambling material, I've added a featured resource and featured book section. 

The featured resource is a primary source found within the Gaming Collection, online, or both.  It's something that will be helpful to people doing research into gambling.  For example, the Nevada Gaming Abstract, the first featured resource, is one of the essential tools for tracking the financial performance of the state's casino industry.  Each featured resource entry will explain the resource in question's context, what it does, and where to find it.

The featured book is a publication about gambling that, because of its age, influence, or both, I consider important enough to spotlight.  This is not a book review section: rather, I just talk a little about the book and its place in the gaming research pantheon. 

I'm going to keep the inaugural editions up for a little while.  Once I spread word of mouth about the site's new capabilities, I'll start changing them once a week or so.

The Compleat Gamester

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The Compleat Gamester, the first English book that discussed indoor and outdoor games and sports, including gambling, was published anonymously in the late 17th century.  According to card historian David Parlett, it was subsequently ascribed to Charles Cotton, who had earlier published an updated of Izaak Walton's The Compleat Angler, a book on the joys of fishing.  A 1739 edition was merged with Richard Seymour's The Court Gamester

According to the author, knowledge of games was vital to succeed in polite society:
"GAMING is become so much the Fashion amongst the Beau-Monde, that he who, in ._ Company, would appear ignorant of the Games in Vogue, would be reckoned low-bred, and hardly fit for Conversation" (1739 edition).

Games addressed in this edition included: Whist, Ombre, Quadrille, Quintille, Picquet, Chess, All-fours, Cribbidge, Put, Lue, Brag, Lottery, Billliards, Riding, Racing, Archery, Cocking, and Bowling. The author warned of the dangers of cheating and excessive play at cards and, to a greater degree, dice, but was particularly enamored of cock-fighting, which he considered the epitome of a manly, sporting diversion.

The Compleat Gamester had rules on games as well as notes on playing strategy. It is the forefather of the genre of gaming guides and how-to-win books.

More information: The Compleat Gamester in the UNLV Library Catalog

The Compleat Gamester in Google Books

Nevada Gaming Abstract

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The Nevada Gaming Abstract is an annual financial analysis of nonrestricted gaming licensees producing $1 million or more in gaming revenue for the fiscal year (July-June).  It is released annually by the Nevada State Gaming Control Board in mid-February for the previous fiscal year.

The first Abstract appeared in November 1972, covering the fiscal years ending June 30 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, and 1971.  It was assembled by the Gaming Control Board's Economic Research section with the help of R.C. Weems, Dean of the College of Business Administration at the University of Nevada Reno, and Albin Dahl and Bill Eadington of that university.  The State Central Data Processing unit under the direction of Gordon Harding, as well as programmer Bill Vance made the analysis possible by collecting the data and writing computer programs to analyze it (1972 Abstract).

The abstract appeared after a 1966 study by the accountants Lybrand, Roos Brothers found an "absence of consistency" in reporting financial data.  As a result, the Gaming Control Board created the Economic Research section to collect and analyze statistical data.  This data would then be used to "measure the efficiency or economics of the individual organizations, or to appraise economic conditions which have a bearing on the industry" (1972 Abstract).

In its initial incarnation, the Abstract included sections on: Downtown Las Vegas, the Las Vegas Strip, Douglas County--South Lake Tahoe, Elko County, Reno/Sparks, and the Balance of the State. Additional sections gave data for Hotel and Casino Complexes, Race Books and Sports Pools, and casinos with annual revenues of less than $1 million.

Each section included information on assets, liabilities, balance sheet ratios, revenues, expenses, win per unit, and percent of revenue produced by games and devices. 

After 1972, the Nevada Gaming Abstract was issued annually.  Beginning in 1975, a series of changes in the data collected and additions to the original categories commenced.  In that year, the Abstract began breaking down revenue in major areas, dividing the results into groups containing casinos makes $1 million to $10 million, $10 million to $20 million, and $20 million and over.  It added a section on publicly-traded corporations and information on employment and wages. Later editions added data on hotel occupancy and complimentary expenses.

In 1984, several changes to the Abstract took place: the tables were substantially re-arranged, though they retained much of the same data as previously, average win per unit was published as a separate document, and the employment data was simplified.  Further changes in 1990 continued the trend of altering the statistical mix as the industry expanded.

By 2006, the Abstract had taken on the following format:
Section 1featured casinos grossing $1 million and over in gaming revenue, with aggregate totals shown statewide and for Clark County, Douglas County--South Shore Lake Tahoe, Elko County, Carson Valley, Washoe County, and the balance of the counties.  Section t2 stratified selected geographical areas into smaller groups based on gaming revenue: the Las Vegas Strip, Downtown Las Vegas, the Boulder Strip, and the balance of Clark County; Wendover; Reno/Sparks and the balance of Washoe County.  Section 3 featured casinos with rooms and publicly-traded casinos with gaming revenues of more than $12 million for the year.

Information presented from that year onward included: the Combined Balance Sheet, a detailed Combined Income Statement, Average Number of Employees, Room Occupancy Rates, Per Room Per Day Statistics, Gaming Revenue Per Square Foot, and Ratios.

The Nevada Gaming Abstract is the progenitor of all regulatory revenue statistics.  Today, it is supplemented by monthly revenue reports and revenue analyses, but it remains an important source of statistical data for those who study gambling and those who are interested in casino financial performance.

For more information, see:


Nevada Gaming Abstracts in the UNLV Library Catalog

Nevada Gaming Abstract online index (since 1990)

New home page feature

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There's a new feature available on http://gaming.unlv.edu: "From the Virtual Stacks."  This is basically a random collection of facts, figures, and whatnot found elsewhere on the site.  If I'm lucky, it will pique some users and lead them to some good reading.

Paper on Gambling and Crime

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This is a paper that Stephanie Neidig of Princeton University wrote a while back about the impact of California Indian gaming on crime rates.  It's well-researched.  Click to title to download a pdf:

Research Guide: Problem Gambling

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For some who gamble, the impulse to wager is uncontrollable. For these people, gambling is no longer a recreational activity, or even an attempt to rationally balance risk and reward, but a problem. Whether known as problem, compulsive, pathological, or disordered gambling, this behavior has devasted many lives--but has also gotten the attention of many clinicians. This subject guide quickly summarizes many of the trends in current problem gambling treatment and study.

See the Problem Gambling Subject Guide by Bill Ursel.

Episode 01: Cristina Turdean Colloquium Talk

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The first UNLV Gaming podcast is now available: Cristina Turdean, November 2008 UNLV Gaming Research fellow, talks about her research

2008_12_turdean.mp3